A tropical disturbance poses a 20 percent chance of development once it moves into the Gulf of Mexico, forecasters say.

The area of disturbed weather, centered around a low-pressure trough, is in the western Caribbean Sea as of Tuesday morning. It is expected to move west to west-northwest, crossing Central American and the Yucatan Peninsula.

Once it reaches the southwestern Gulf, wind conditions aloft could become more conducive to development, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The system currently does not pose a threat to Northwest Florida.